Why is XRP price down today?

XRP price is down today as traders de-risk after Jerome Powell’s hawkish address at Jackson Hole.XRP XRP

$0.52 price is down today, mirroring trends as investors de-risk after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish statements at Jackson Hole.

On Aug. 25, the XRP price dropped 1.25% to $0.507, slightly underperforming the crypto market, whose capitalization fell 1% in the same period. This coincided with the U.S.

dollar index (DXY) rising to a two-month high, suggesting investors are increasingly seeking safety.

Meanwhile, the market is currently mixed about the rate guidance. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, expectations about a rate pause in September remain firm.

However, the probability of a rate hike in November has grown to 41% from 32% a month ago.

Whale dump alert
The days leading up to the Powell speech have witnessed whales reducing their XRP exposure.

XRP supply held by addresses with a balance of more than 1 billion tokens

(black) fell to 39.21% from 41% a week ago. Similarly, the supply held by the 10 million-to-100 million balance cohort has dropped 0.25% in the last four days.

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Notably, one rich XRP investor moved 29.3 million XRP worth $15.13 million to the Bitstamp exchange, which should increase the supply available and potentially sell-pressure.

More XRP losses ahead?
From a technical standpoint, the XRP/USD pair stares at more potential losses in the coming days or weeks.

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Notably, XRP’s ongoing upward consolidation trend appears to be painting a bear flag. This is a classic bearish continuation pattern that forms when

the price trends inside a two rising, parallel trendlines, after a strong move downside (called flagpole).

The bear flag resolves after the price breaks below its lower trendline and falls by as much as the flagpole’s height, as shown above. Hence, the bears will hope for

a possible flash crash toward $0.40 as its next downside target, or a 20% price decline by September.

However, the bulls will pin hopes on XRP’s daily relative strength turning oversold,

raising possibilities of a short-term recovery toward the flag’s upper trendline. In this case, XRP price has a bullish target of $0.54, or 6% gains, by the end of August.

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